However, a victory on home soil will not come easy against a team that went into Florida and controlled the first half of the Week 12 showdown. If the Bucs score at a similar rate on February 7, they should be in a good position to cash underdog moneyline tickets. In the past three weeks, Tampa Bay has eclipsed the 30-point mark against the Washington Football Team, Saints and Packers. The Buccaneers went 5-3 at Raymond James Stadium and scored over 25 points in each of their victories. Tampa Bay is the better play on the moneyline since it is playing inside its home stadium, has Brady at quarterback and, most importantly, has underdog value. You are getting Brady on the moneyline at +105 with very little risk on the total.Moneyline: Kansas City -167 (bet $167 to win $100) Tampa Bay +145 (bet $100 to win $145) There were 58 total points when these teams played in Week 3. If the total was 36.5 for every game these two teams played this season, it would have hit in 33 of 36 games (91.6%). We are getting the total at 12 points below market in a game where both offenses average 27 and 30 points each. What if you don't trust Matthew Stafford at all? This is the best way to get the Bucs moneyline at plus money without being very dependent on the Rams. Moneyline and total points: Tampa Bay over 36.5 (+105) has failed to score 20 points only twice in eighteen games. We detailed above that Tampa averages just below 19 points at home in the first half alone. If you think the Rams have the firepower to keep this close, this is a great way to maximize your return. I detailed why I think this game will go over the total of 48.5 points earlier in the week. This bet returns 225% of your wager compared to the 66.67% the Buccaneers money line at -150 odds will yield. This is an option for bettors who just want to bank on Brady getting it done at the end at plus money. Sometimes in the NFL the outcome is exactly what you expected, but the game didn't go the way you thought it would at all. Moneyline and both teams to score 20 or more points: Buccaneers and Yes +225 You are getting a smaller return at +105 and are banking on at least a three-point halftime lead. The Rams' road scoring average jumps from 26th in the league in the first quarter to just outside the Top 10 in the first half. You are still betting into a market where the Bucs are the highest-scoring team in the league, there is just more risk because the margin between them and the Rams is shorter. You have to lay -2.5 points, but Tampa Bay's scoring average soars from 7.8 points to 18.8 in the first half at home. If the coin toss is a concern and you want Brady to have more time to work, the first-half bet is still an option at plus money. The Bucs outscored Philly 14-0 last week in front of their home crowd. Under Brady, Tampa Bay is 4-1 on the first-quarter moneyline in the postseason, with the only blemish coming on the road. The Rams on the road rank 26th with only 2.3 points per game. Brady's Bucs lead the NFL in first-quarter scoring at home, averaging 7.8 points this season. We are getting +115 odds for Tampa to have the lead after the first quarter ends. (AP Photo/Jason Behnken) First-quarter line: Tampa Bay (-0.5) +115įirst-quarter lines can be a real sweat if your team doesn't get the ball first. Tom Brady has had historic success in the NFL playoffs.
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